Paul VI

Proposal at a glance

Tax map parcel(s): 57 1 39 03 103, 57 1 39 000 C, 57 1 39 01 001, 57 1 39 01 002, 57 1 39 01 003, 57 1 39 01 004, 57 1 39 01 005, 57 1 39 01 006, 57 1 39 01 007, 57 1 39 01 008, 57 1 39 01 009, 57 1 39 01 010, 57 1 39 01 011, 57 1 39 01 012, 57 1 39 01 013, 57 1 39 01 014, 57 1 39 01 015, 57 1 39 000 A, 57 1 39 01 049, 57 1 39 01 048, 57 1 39 01 047, 57 1 39 01 020, 57 1 39 01 019, 57 1 39 01 018, 57 1 39 01 017, 57 1 39 01 016, 57 1 39 01 000 F, 57 1 39 02 119, 57 1 39 02 070, 57 1 39 02 069, 57 1 39 02 068, 57 1 39 02 067, 57 1 39 02 066, 57 1 39 02 000 G, 57 1 39 04 114, 57 1 39 CG 000, 57 1 39 101, 57 1 39 102, 57 1 39 103, 57 1 39 104, 57 1 39 105, 57 1 39 111, 57 1 39 112, 57 1 39 114, 57 1 39 115, 57 1 39 117, 57 1 39 119, 57 1 39 120, 57 1 39 121, 57 1 39 122, 57 1 39 123, 57 1 39 124, 57 1 39 125, 57 1 39 126, 57 1 39 127, 57 1 39 128, 57 1 39 129, 57 1 39 130, 57 1 39 131, 57 1 39 133, 57 1 39 134, 57 1 39 135, 57 1 39 136, 57 1 39 137, 57 1 39 138, 57 1 39 140, 57 1 39 200, 57 1 39 201, 57 1 39 202, 57 1 39 203, 57 1 39 204, 57 1 39 205, 57 1 39 206, 57 1 39 207, 57 1 39 208, 57 1 39 210, 57 1 39 211, 57 1 39 212, 57 1 39 214, 57 1 39 217, 57 1 39 218, 57 1 39 220, 57 1 39 221, 57 1 39 222, 57 1 39 223, 57 1 39 224, 57 1 39 225, 57 1 39 226, 57 1 39 227, 57 1 39 228, 57 1 39 229, 57 1 39 230, 57 1 39 231, 57 1 39 232, 57 1 39 233, 57 1 39 234, 57 1 39 235, 57 1 39 236, 57 1 39 237, 57 1 39 238, 57 1 39 240, 57 1 39 300, 57 1 39 301, 57 1 39 302, 57 1 39 303, 57 1 39 304, 57 1 39 305, 57 1 39 306, 57 1 39 307, 57 1 39 308, 57 1 39 310, 57 1 39 311, 57 1 39 312, 57 1 39 314, 57 1 39 316, 57 1 39 317, 57 1 39 318, 57 1 39 320, 57 1 39 321, 57 1 39 322, 57 1 39 323, 57 1 39 324, 57 1 39 325, 57 1 39 326, 57 1 39 327, 57 1 39 328, 57 1 39 329, 57 1 39 330, 57 1 39 331, 57 1 39 332, 57 1 39 333, 57 1 39 334, 57 1 39 335, 57 1 39 336, 57 1 39 337, 57 1 39 338, 57 1 39 340, 57 1 39 400, 57 1 39 401, 57 1 39 402, 57 1 39 403, 57 1 39 405, 57 1 39 406, 57 1 39 407, 57 1 39 408, 57 1 39 410, 57 1 39 411, 57 1 39 412, 57 1 39 414, 57 1 39 416, 57 1 39 417, 57 1 39 418, 57 1 39 420, 57 1 39 421, 57 1 39 422, 57 1 39 423, 57 1 39 424, 57 1 39 425, 57 1 39 426, 57 1 39 427, 57 1 39 428, 57 1 39 429, 57 1 39 430, 57 1 39 431, 57 1 39 432, 57 1 39 433, 57 1 39 434, 57 1 39 435, 57 1 39 436, 57 1 39 437, 57 1 39 438, 57 1 39 440, 57 1 39 03 102, 57 1 39 03 101, 57 1 39 03 100, 57 1 39 03 099, 57 1 39 02 122, 57 1 39 02 121, 57 1 39 03 098, 57 1 39 03 097, 57 1 39 04 104, 57 1 39 03 096, 57 1 39 02 071, 57 1 39 04 105, 57 1 39 03 095, 57 1 39 02 072, 57 1 39 02 118, 57 1 39 04 106, 57 1 39 03 094, 57 1 39 02 073, 57 1 39 04 107, 57 1 39 03 093, 57 1 39 02 074, 57 1 39 04 108, 57 1 39 03 092, 57 1 39 02 075, 57 1 39 02 117, 57 1 39 03 000 H, 57 1 39 04 109, 57 1 39 04 110, 57 1 39 02 091, 57 1 39 02 076, 57 1 39 02 065, 57 1 39 04 111, 57 1 39 02 090, 57 1 39 02 077, 57 1 39 02 064, 57 1 39 04 112, 57 1 39 02 089, 57 1 39 02 078, 57 1 39 02 063, 57 1 39 02 116, 57 1 39 02 088, 57 1 39 02 079, 57 1 39 04 113, 57 1 39 02 087, 57 1 39 02 080, 57 1 39 02 086, 57 1 39 02 081, 57 1 39 04 115, 57 1 39 04 000 I, 57 1 39 02 085, 57 1 39 02 082, 57 1 39 02 084, 57 1 39 02 083, 57 1 39 02 062, 57 1 39 02 061, 57 1 39 02 060, 57 1 39 02 059, 57 1 39 02 058, 57 1 39 02 057, 57 1 39 02 120, 57 1 39 100, 57 1 39 01 040, 57 1 39 01 039, 57 1 39 01 038, 57 1 39 01 037, 57 1 39 01 036, 57 1 39 01 035, 57 1 39 01 034, 57 1 39 01 033, 57 1 39 01 032, 57 1 39 01 031, 57 1 39 01 030, 57 1 39 01 029, 57 1 39 01 028, 57 1 39 000 J, 57 1 39 000 E, 57 1 39 000 D, 57 1 39 01 041, 57 1 39 01 056, 57 1 39 01 027, 57 1 39 01 042, 57 1 39 01 055, 57 1 39 01 026, 57 1 39 01 043, 57 1 39 01 054, 57 1 39 01 025, 57 1 39 01 044, 57 1 39 01 053, 57 1 39 01 024, 57 1 39 01 045, 57 1 39 01 052, 57 1 39 01 023, 57 1 39 01 051, 57 1 39 01 022, 57 1 39 01 046, 57 1 39 01 050, 57 1 39 01 021

Extracted from the city's submitted documents; each figure traces to the text it came from.

• Floor area (existing) — "School 190,532 $27,398,000 $0.000 $0"
• Dwelling units (existing) — "two other properties (collectively, the "Property") owned by the Diocese"
• Dwelling units (proposed) — "includes a total of 266 residential units, including 144 multifamily residential condominiums"
• Retail (proposed) — "Commercial/Retail Space 20,000 square feet"
• Stories (proposed) — "The multi-family condominium building shall be four (4) stories."
• Site area (proposed) — "consolidation of three parcels for a total of 18.51 acres"

Official record

The approved project (PDF, 7MB) includes a total of 266 residential units, including 144 multifamily residential condominiums, 115 townhomes, and seven single-family homes, as well as 20,000 square feet of retail space and the 24,000 square foot retained portion of the school building, which may contain a mix of commercial and/or undefined community uses.

• Requests: Rezone the subject site from CR – Commercial Retail, RM – Residential Medium and John C. Wood House Historic District to PDM – Planned Development Mixed Use; Comprehensive Plan Amendment to modify the future land use map designation from Institutional and Residential Low to Business Commercial, Transitional and Residential - High; Special Use Permit for disturbance in the floodplain; Support for Waivers from the Public Facilities Manual as listed in the Master Development Plan.
• Address: 10675 Fairfax Boulevard, 10600 Cedar Avenue, and 10606 Cedar Avenue, Fairfax, VA 22030
• Applicant: IDI Fairfax, LC
• City record

Open questions

No unresolved questions recorded.

Member commentary

No recorded member positions yet.

Screening-level estimates of the economic and fiscal effects of Paul VI. Figures are decision-support context with named assumptions and sensitivity ranges — not predictions. The full analysis has the interactive assumptions panel and maps; methods documents every formula.

Headline estimates

• New residents: 516 (range 396 – 632) — households x persons per multifamily unit (Rutgers CUPR bedroom-mix multipliers)
• Annual capture: project's own ground-floor retail: $73k (range $42k – $101k) — Huff model over individual retail POIs: joint destination+mode choice, P(j,m) ~ A_j * w_m * exp(-b_m t_mj), CES category spend; clusters are a reporting rollup; own retail competes as a destination
• New annual spending arriving on foot: $816k (range $143k – $4.0M) — walk-mode share of the joint destination+mode Huff choice, summed over businesses; walking loses to driving with walk time, so the remainder of the mode-split budget arrives by car
• Real estate tax increase: −$398k (range −$827k – −$151k) — projected minus current RE tax
• Net annual fiscal impact — marginal framing: −$1.5M (range −$3.3M – −$151k) — incremental new recurring revenue minus service cost (only services that scale with new residents)

Method notes, caveats, and non-headline metrics live on the analysis page.